Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 35.708227 41.037066 46.790534 53.451873 60.939118 69.081612 78.593628
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 26.972341 34.481795 43.354649 54.550234 68.232190 84.336864 104.650234
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 19.999312 27.931720 38.023649 51.669127 69.481698 91.771209 121.573416
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 16.941186 25.437907 36.915404 53.314248 75.858150 105.434962 146.780012
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.062229 24.078026 36.898443 56.090583 83.639453 121.221203 175.699767
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.514262 21.272148 34.363760 54.860545 85.515268 128.897371 193.949455
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.214642 18.433388 31.326407 52.395208 85.151286 133.125928 207.358688
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.562866 18.113152 32.056436 55.630680 93.418877 150.267431 240.398682
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.293757 18.378234 33.709199 60.415112 104.375916 172.060005 281.637484
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.347440 17.301999 32.986435 61.200379 108.980802 184.376080 309.160217
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.396265 16.067385 31.825946 61.083157 112.021492 194.336676 333.500147
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.485036 14.765676 30.376647 60.276988 113.764861 202.224055 354.879334
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.771793 13.797824 29.511022 60.579993 117.705610 214.408436 384.759100
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.160077 12.954432 28.799938 61.132424 122.205919 227.969154 418.038012
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.238113 11.269415 26.205139 57.809344 119.379477 228.796142 429.922370
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.920475 10.899955 26.234974 59.596602 126.128122 246.684648 472.065735
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.740245 10.825540 26.871736 62.653187 135.502077 269.785925 524.577776
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.239609 9.865331 25.452147 61.295092 136.162081 277.106509 549.437901
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.717380 8.741736 23.502870 58.574541 133.835195 278.685635 563.914986
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.650420 8.835740 24.394778 62.144230 144.555539 305.403513 625.940519
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.679716 9.205655 25.986978 67.418734 159.168499 340.327172 704.912997
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.459863 8.814036 25.663640 68.283982 164.544104 357.658703 751.593037
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.213754 8.294307 24.948433 68.154827 167.758159 370.899096 791.099257